Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad9ae5e67c2f5aa2c75a5468d2082d065eeb48dc1462c25e7a8c0764269978f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Tieren FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 3,606$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 45c | 817.89$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 574.24$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 17c | 499.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 427.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 42c | 296.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 291.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 21c | 239.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 236.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 186.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 104.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 57c | 57.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 57c | 55.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 59c | 37.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 62c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.