Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c9ebd2925c15dbfa4c6e4e826e2c9bce4b156ae93e4ab44291f56620faf079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 7,452$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.37 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 3,174$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 54c | 2,929$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.16 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…ce81backed Under | 77c | 2,614$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 2,514$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.7 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,393$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,061$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 54c | 854.49$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.07 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 30c | 757.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 43c | 712.46$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 70c | 553.35$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 43c | 541.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 33c | 513.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 462.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.84 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 22c | 296.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 205.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 27c | 176.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 66c | 132.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 124.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 124.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 19c | 124.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 69c | 118.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 68c | 105.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 71c | 96.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 32c | 89.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 22c | 86.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 72c | 86.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 74.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 67c | 73.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 70c | 72.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 66c | 70.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 67.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…1471backed Under | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 67.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 68c | 59.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 23c | 58.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 32c | 50.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 24c | 44.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 43.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 41.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 40.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 31.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 57c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…d827backed Under | 41c | 25.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 70c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 70c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 70c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 68c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 77c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.