TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c8,490$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.95,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c8,223$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.6984342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c7,327$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.8712939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c4,555$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.382,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c2,836$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.953917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+100.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over49c2,673$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.3517249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under4c1,815$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over52c1,280$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.372250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under38c1,079$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over49c922.52$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.493138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over46c917.29$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.955750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under12c900.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.683630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under14c841.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c704.28$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.662,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under41c610$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.23652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c510.55$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.261,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over61c493.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.54035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c427.14$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under49c422.52$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0513246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c417.2$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6925155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over46c384.16$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.456349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under50c383.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2219261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over72c354.28$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.934663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over45c337$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.43432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under39c300$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.912142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under49c286.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3821643.5%94 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under50c254.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.823859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under55c249.91$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.458955.1%49 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under52c236.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under48c204.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.722770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under50c202.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.691,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under55c191.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.49639.6%38 W · 58 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under51c186.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.593535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under52c179.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8759342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under26c178.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Over53c156$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c151.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.021,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c145$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3527337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c142.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4438849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under49c141.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.32560%15 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under49c136.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.57949.4%39 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under48c135.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659540%38 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under9c133.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.367037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over76c133.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.126348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under50c126.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6124161.4%148 W · 93 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over49c122.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.66650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over45c107.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.920150.7%102 W · 99 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under47c106.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c98.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under38c97.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under48c96.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8414948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under45c92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1711148.6%54 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under38c89.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under50c86.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.957570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under50c82.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.044055%22 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under50c81.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.418543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under51c76.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.493145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Under49c73.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c73.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c72.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.722653.5%121 W · 105 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8233552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over47c57.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5711433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over76c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6821953.9%118 W · 101 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over52c54.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.362825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under36c54.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6618646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5397…ae53backed Over55c54.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under50c53.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Under59c50.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2126052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under50c46.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3820838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under49c46.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.676239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over56c43.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c43.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Under29c41.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c41.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0572342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6119354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over76c37.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0910654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over46c32.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.878836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over62c31.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.