Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c149be6071c2d950d69dc12750cc11f225b2b36d8c689de0173a0b0e8e862a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Tieren FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 3,070$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 2,222$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.93 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 1,552$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.76 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 1,451$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.43 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 1,244$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 24c | 686.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 598.69$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 393.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 19c | 349.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 270.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 24c | 158.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 125.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 20c | 107.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 19c | 89.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 18c | 85.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 23c | 82.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 74.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 74.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 77c | 62.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 77c | 57.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…9592backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 22c | 45.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 43.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 80c | 24.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 24.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 75c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.