TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c4,988$1,023 inLost-$1,023.4884342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c1,877$248 inLost-$247.552,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under77c1,299$1,000 inWon+$298.71361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x905a…dff1backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon+$265.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c1,164$928 inWon+$235.825,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over4c589.69$23 inLost-$22.581947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c584.34$94 inLost-$93.521,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over17c499.99$85 inLost-$855330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c482.8$71 inLost-$71.41,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c409.2$63 inLost-$62.962,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over13c320.12$42 inLost-$41.5872342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over15c245.53$36 inLost-$35.9314310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under74c200$148 inWon+$521070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over15c194.93$29 inLost-$28.5676239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c119.03$95 inWon+$23.8137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Over16c110.25$18 inLost-$17.64633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Under78c100$78 inWon+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over15c86.67$13 inLost-$1311433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over17c84.36$14 inLost-$14.347949.4%39 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over13c79.99$10 inLost-$10.47728.6%22 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c57$33 inWon+$23.6813148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under80c54.17$43 inWon+$10.8425155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under78c51$40 inWon+$11.4519354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c46.5$20 inLost-$2077056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under79c34.41$27 inWon+$7.0910960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under80c20$16 inWon+$4.118261.5%112 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.