Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b00695c5d563e4524f0c031fb9bee993e9cdd8dc5b16af3e829284a4b90bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 66c | 4,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,074$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 1,862$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 65c | 1,713$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 1,132$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.32 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 907.03$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 471.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 365.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 36c | 269.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 267$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 35c | 253.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 249.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked No | 25c | 240$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 219.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 203.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 76c | 159.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 123.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 66c | 118.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 34c | 113.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 67c | 99.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 49.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 69c | 45.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 31c | 45.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 34c | 41.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 34c | 41.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 65c | 33.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 65c | 31.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 66c | 24.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 66c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Yes | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 65c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 67c | 21.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.