TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe253…b9c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
378
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT7657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$55.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$133.35
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$74.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.92
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$45.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$41.53
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.65
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.93
1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.75
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$17.94
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.36
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.97
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$22
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.28
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.91
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.52
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.82
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.41
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.41
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.23
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$92.31
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.43
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.98
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$31.09
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.66
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+290.4%+$79.35
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.24
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.12
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.69
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Beijing Guoan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.66
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.05
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.22
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)backed Henan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$28.59
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.44
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)backed Henan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.09
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)backed Shandong Taishan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$44.96
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.16
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)backed Liaoning Tieren FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$71.54
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$254.22
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.31
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$209.1
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)backed Liaoning Tieren FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)backed Yunnan Yukun FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$44.76
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$88.42
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.76
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.22
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.27
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$67.17
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$53.49
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$8.2
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Beijing Ducks vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.55
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.3
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$18.13
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$68.36
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.6
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$116.11
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+208.7%+$126.06
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.53
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.22
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+130%+$138.03
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.71
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.