Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3ec492922bfd9db324aa02052d23695b49f8eca4ef253a16322786ce70538c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,960 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 10c | 1,034$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 736.84$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 512.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 432.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 419.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 390.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 371.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…6864backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 6c | 301.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 291.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 228.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 176.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…193bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 9c | 142$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 9c | 120.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 83.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 75.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 55.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 71c | 34.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0477backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 23.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.