Euroleague · resolved market
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd854ced87b0014c99af9fb4436f5fcb9d2a5dad153fc319841e9fa7c85b76af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangzhou Loong Lionsof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 35c | 15,304$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.73 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 53c | 10,848$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.17 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 63c | 5,166$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.19 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 2c | 3,492$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 2,806$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.58 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 47c | 2,096$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.76 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 1,964$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 40c | 1,844$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.56 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 27c | 1,711$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.66 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 67c | 1,335$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 62c | 1,050$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 70c | 859.15$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 48c | 696.11$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 44c | 618$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 77c | 589.16$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 61c | 518$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 39c | 516.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 445.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 437.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 349.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 304.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 76c | 300.73$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 38c | 259.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 255.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5960backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 42c | 213.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 199.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 199.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 76c | 194.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 188.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 184.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 172.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 60c | 164.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 159.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 135.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 119.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 20c | 110.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…edc9backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 94.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…a13bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 87.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 76.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 73.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 36c | 64.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 54.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 43.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 40.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…fe34backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 67c | 28.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 60c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 23.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 52c | 22.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 77c | 21.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 21.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…f125backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…29f0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 20.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 50c | 20.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 62c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…9e67backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 78c | 13.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.