TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,747,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,954,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,747,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1887…678abacked Yes46c5,112,377$2,361,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750,767.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No53c492,400$260,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,971.957542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No54c455,501$245,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,025.298940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No55c407,575$224,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,166.181330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No53c380,699$202,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,493.453450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No53c270,676$143,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,458.0318958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No55c269,949$148,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,771.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c251,209$94,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,811.736,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No53c212,766$112,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,765.985552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No55c200,000$110,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No54c185,185$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0003540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No55c180,000$99,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,999.911650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c151,260$80,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,982.4212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No53c125,000$66,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,2505547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No53c124,050$66,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,180.411947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No54c105,000$56,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,4005939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No54c101,974$55,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,065.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No53c98,814$52,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,371.423148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No53c93,525$49,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,568.251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c87,059$47,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,410.332,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No54c84,156$45,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,256.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No55c76,548$42,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,101.4913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No53c75,753$40,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,149.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No23c68,446$15,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,596.2688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No3c51,281$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.0710042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c50,902$25,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,127.2118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed No54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed No55c47,273$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No56c45,734$25,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,611.252437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No53c44,202$23,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,437.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No53c43,080$22,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,832.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No54c41,938$22,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,495.463759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c38,414$20,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,530.067653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No56c35,714$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No54c35,598$19,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,222.924052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c34,872$19,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,276.441,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes46c32,608$14,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,642.969061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No53c30,456$16,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,231.147544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.973053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No53c27,008$14,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,314.46346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c25,288$6,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,822.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No54c22,428$12,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,1115352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No53c21,379$11,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,330.9231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No54c21,000$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3407448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No53c20,100$10,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,653728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c20,066$11,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,036.437851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked No54c20,000$10,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,832.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No14c19,728$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.421,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No53c19,440$10,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,303.182846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No53c19,000$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,07011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No54c18,888$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.5116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No53c18,536$9,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,824.083256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No34c18,320$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.61241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No53c17,308$9,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,172.982642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No55c16,777$9,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,227.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No3c16,670$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.18153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c16,602$8,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,714.82,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No53c15,500$8,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2159347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No53c15,050$7,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,976.53145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked No1c13,856$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No44c12,986$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.2113852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No53c12,275$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.752934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked No55c12,200$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7101435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c12,172$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No53c12,040$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes44c11,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,160666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked No55c10,909$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c10,795$5,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,937.2640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No53c10,750$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.47035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.36066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No55c10,375$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,750944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No6c10,167$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a1b…aef4backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No54c10,000$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3501250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No56c10,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c4…67c7backed No55c9,743$5,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,358.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x455b…b985backed No55c9,628$5,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,295.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efb…c204backed No55c9,118$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No0c9,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No55c8,758$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8954…868ebacked No55c8,743$4,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,808.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f5…65f1backed No55c8,717$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes79c8,533$6,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.9810253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa731…6626backed No55c8,481$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4360…d74fbacked No55c8,299$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,564.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3547…bc6cbacked No55c7,957$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,376.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…0bd1backed No55c7,771$4,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No53c7,762$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.863842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c7,725$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No55c7,685$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,22790%0 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c7,503$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.0359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No55c7,500$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1505242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed No55c7,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No55c7,455$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No56c7,390$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5449…518ebacked No55c6,965$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.