TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No76c16,516$12,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.9118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes24c13,850$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.957750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes24c12,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes5c9,596$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.351,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes10c5,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.911828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No75c4,657$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.138940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes2c3,590$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.362821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes17c3,185$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.031,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes7c2,589$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.415032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes16c1,880$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes13c1,528$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c1,370$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No80c1,351$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2114975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes9c1,323$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.114139%16 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No75c1,036$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2591573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c803.68$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.513324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes17c664.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes8c656.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.483145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c652.18$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.571,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677d…ffd6backed Yes10c634.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.43137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes15c531.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes2c519.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.682123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes25c498.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.729753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c491.17$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No75c460$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c428$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x654a…c304backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c415.56$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8959445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95d…2ebdbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c387.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes25c360$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…c5bfbacked Yes6c332.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes9c301.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.78037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c299.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c295.36$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.848831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes9c295$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.554938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c293$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.258666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes20c216.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.277129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x909e…735cbacked Yes24c205.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ee21backed Yes25c201.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c197.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34e…31f1backed Yes17c180$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes26c176.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c167.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4138233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2c97backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c145.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d9…d857backed Yes24c144.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes22c144$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.687335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes24c130.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8710971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes9c119.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.734223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes24c102.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.757853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes23c92.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes25c91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes25c85.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bd5…d8d3backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a86…85aabacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cb…8896backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206637.9%25 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x759e…8afdbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…8f69backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208043.8%35 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes25c65.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.35635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c64.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes25c58.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137357.5%42 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes22c50.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c50.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.