TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe70…ee21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$14.86
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+165.2%+$17.44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$67.98
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$18.22
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$16.68
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$39.04
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$12.12
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$12.37
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.4
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$15.26
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.44
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.65
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.74
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+161%+$19.74
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$10.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.04
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88%+$9.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+275.7%+$85.86
LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.24
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$11.86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
LoL: Bubliki vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Dream Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$22.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.09
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$122.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.