Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd542dcfc4d6e50231450c9d0d6ed91cb621b54776e6fb1178ed396194d35407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Arthur Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $891,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,007,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 111,020$17,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,488.68 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 48,623$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.28 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Arthur Fils | 6c | 33,747$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.64 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 28,656$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Arthur Fils | 15c | 21,829$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.65 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Arthur Fils | 4c | 16,550$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.86 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Arthur Fils | 13c | 16,538$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.63 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…79c6backed Arthur Fils | 6c | 16,483$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 15,038$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Arthur Fils | 17c | 14,540$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Arthur Fils | 4c | 13,176$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.01 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Arthur Fils | 15c | 13,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 11,987$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.67 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Arthur Fils | 8c | 10,947$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.2 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Arthur Fils | 18c | 10,880$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 10,678$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 8,933$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.25 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 8,347$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Arthur Fils | 3c | 7,000$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…bf02backed Arthur Fils | 18c | 6,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 6,401$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.19 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 6,082$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.62 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Arthur Fils | 2c | 5,824$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 5,604$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.66 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Arthur Fils | 1c | 5,487$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Arthur Fils | 5c | 5,116$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 4,601$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.35 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Arthur Fils | 14c | 3,958$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.26 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…4421backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 3,957$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Arthur Fils | 10c | 3,613$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 3,562$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 3,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 2,771$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Arthur Fils | 6c | 2,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arthur Fils | 5c | 2,599$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a7c6backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 2,321$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 2,162$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 2,152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 2,132$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.03 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…673ebacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 2,081$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Arthur Fils | 6c | 2,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Arthur Fils | 6c | 1,758$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Arthur Fils | 13c | 1,522$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…cc07backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 1,521$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Arthur Fils | 15c | 1,520$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Arthur Fils | 4c | 1,359$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…8b2ebacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,224$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,216$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 1,202$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…5dfdbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,181$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Arthur Fils | 4c | 1,175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Arthur Fils | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 999.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 999.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Arthur Fils | 6c | 989.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Arthur Fils | 3c | 958.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Arthur Fils | 12c | 933.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 108 | 25.9%28 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Arthur Fils | 7c | 924.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 888$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 875$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Arthur Fils | 8c | 822.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Arthur Fils | 8c | 736.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Arthur Fils | 9c | 719.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Arthur Fils | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Arthur Fils | 5c | 699.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ee21backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 670$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Arthur Fils | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 616$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 612.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0ebebacked Arthur Fils | 4c | 607$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c03…5c25backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 606.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Arthur Fils | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 597.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Arthur Fils | 11c | 590.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…17a6backed Arthur Fils | 14c | 571.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Arthur Fils | 12c | 570.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…d8edbacked Arthur Fils | 5c | 538.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 526.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…613abacked Arthur Fils | 3c | 515.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Arthur Fils | 13c | 514.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Arthur Fils | 8c | 506.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…3ba8backed Arthur Fils | 5c | 492.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…b750backed Arthur Fils | 15c | 487.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Arthur Fils | 6c | 478.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Arthur Fils | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Fils | 12c | 386.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs FilsSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.