TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56e9…79c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.29
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$388.64
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferrobacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$223.08
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+217.7%+$97.07
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.26
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$552
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$591.57
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosiobacked Victoria Bosio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$963
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$704.63
Athens Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Viktoria Morvayova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.97
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$356.2
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.46
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.3
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$145.93
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$535.62
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390.12
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.91
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$888.89
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.77
Tunis: Skander Mansouri vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Skander Mansouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$993
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,127.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$993
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$488.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,071.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$160.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$1,043.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.