TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No39c9,781$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.421,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c8,144$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.1962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes65c4,641$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes62c3,900$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.071136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes62c3,804$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.875763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes71c3,440$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c3,277$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.5648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes17c2,941$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.188435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No45c2,572$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.26943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e9…79c6backed Yes57c2,444$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c1,632$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.7118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Yes61c1,626$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.326100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No34c1,533$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes60c1,503$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes17c1,471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.593850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes11c1,364$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.641526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c1,286$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.0633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c1,137$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.0115071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No62c945.32$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.485846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Yes48c760.64$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c685.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.32152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes76c680.11$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No29c647.16$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes70c572.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c540.22$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8624349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No38c520.36$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.522748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No36c479.74$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes33c440.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.362030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…121abacked Yes68c380.05$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed Yes27c360.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes60c334.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.972536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes28c290.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.643050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c284.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No27c259.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.23743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes39c256$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No78c241.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.24170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0900…6258backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes9c195.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.921540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes73c185.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes57c174.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.813850%19 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes22c174.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+215.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.671711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c166$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c52…43ebbacked Yes68c160.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes7c159.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe566…9cc5backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No29c152.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes20c147.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.762665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes12c139.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Yes78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes11c124.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.483336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.657343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes21c105.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.342040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No23c104.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.164067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed No80c102$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4846…ba76backed No68c101.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Yes64c101.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes30c99.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.451827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed No55c92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…aadfbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No67c80.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7914352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Yes25c79.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.91520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes25c79.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No44c77.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.272842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…60cabacked Yes17c74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+502.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No59c73.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.171225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed No42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No80c68.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.792466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a6…1e08backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes17c67.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.714427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Yes28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes43c60.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked No17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes26c58.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes55c54.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No54c50.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.955829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afe…590bbacked No31c47.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed No57c46.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes33c45.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No56c42.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9115951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Yes73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Yes65c36.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.