TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c52…43eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kajibacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lubacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$24.57
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$34.13
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$28.83
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$23.39
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.83
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.01
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$32
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$39.85
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$23.34
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$43.27
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.94
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$51.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.