MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e57f79e5fddc81bd957a2b757a285aa3321f4d4de62de8f6841a327f2f5dd31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Toronto Blue Jays, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 71,817$36,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,008.69 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 44,580$22,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,897.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 37,839$18,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,919.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 24,068$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.72 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 20,025$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 20,000$10,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.54 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 16,305$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 16,004$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 15,355$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…6ed1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 11,175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 11,078$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 10,170$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…d328backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 9,727$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 8,686$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 8,682$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.86 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 5,882$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.72 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,800$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 5,543$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.69 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 4,899$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.2 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 4,346$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 4,052$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,834$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,655$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,608$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 3,523$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,505$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.21 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,200$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.7 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 3,167$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.01 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,161$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.16 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,027$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.25 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,969$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,962$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 2,838$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.19 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 2,801$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 2,663$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,520$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…a06abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,115$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 2,106$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.2 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 2,092$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.19 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…f533backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,946$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.57 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,931$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.43 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,927$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 1,882$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,800$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.92 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,656$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,548$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,453$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.1 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,401$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,333$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,321$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.3 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,229$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.7 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,211$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,205$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.21 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,183$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,151$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,109$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.95 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,002$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 908$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…64c3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 898$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 869.76$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 803.73$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 790$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 780.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 753.93$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 704.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.09 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 677.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 640.17$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 631.23$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 621.48$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 586.18$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 571.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 570.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 564.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.