TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e8d…5a27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
934
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
33

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2154.2%9 W · 206 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Will Trump jail Biden family member?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.57
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.73
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Trump visit China before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?backed Zelenskyy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.23
Trump approval >45% on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.39
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1256.4%8 W · 117 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,453.6%+$391.05
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.09
Will Siaosi Pōhiva be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Etuate Lavulavu be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.77
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked D66 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+55.3%+$38.77
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.12
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.28
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+266%+$107.32
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.67
French confidence vote fails?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.73
NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.11
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.8
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.72
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.24
U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT695.8%4 W · 65 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-78.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
Will John Legere be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.87
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.41
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.64
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.37
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.64
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
OpenAI browser in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.16
Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.21
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT663%2 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-95.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.77
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
US strikes Yemen by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.55
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.92
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.22
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.72
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.51
Syria strikes Israel by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.47
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.54
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.45
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.39
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.29
Will Syria hold national elections before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.57
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.43
Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.15
US strike on Iran on June  27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.62
US strike on Iran on June  26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.52
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT565.4%3 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.73
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.59
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.31
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.94
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.36
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.45
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.07
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST517.8%4 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Washington change name to "Redskins" in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+376.2%+$3,160
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$968.04
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+154.2%+$835.7
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$629
Will the Jets draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Travis Hunter and GF break up before Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$166.5
Will Abdul Carter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will the Jaguars draft Will Campbell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the Titans draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will the Raiders make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Jalen Milroe be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.32
Will the Browns make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.68
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will 100-105 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.38
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Joe Biden attend Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.61
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.73
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.05
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,716.78
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,874.68
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,870.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$8,515
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.16
Will Jalen Brunson score the most total points in the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.39
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.74
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$78.04
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.06
Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will Amen Thompson win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.28
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT348.8%3 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.67
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+900%+$189
2025 June hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Megaquake in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84–85°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or below on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+392.4%+$42.54
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.13
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.49
Megaquake before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.38
Megaquake in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 57°F or higher on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.46
2025 February hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$81.32
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$32.02
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Harvey Weinstein acquitted on all charges in New York retrial?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.72
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 65?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 8+ Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will "Emilia Pérez" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.49
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.83
Will Jacques Audiard win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Emilia Pérez"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.21
Will 'The Brutalist' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will 'The Brutalist' win 0 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will "Maria" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.37
Will "Wicked" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.49
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.06
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Will 'Flow' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Will Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.01
Will 'A Real Pain' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT296.9%2 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.78
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.42
Democratic senator calls on Fetterman to resign in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.64
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+1,881.3%+$966.63
Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.51
Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.62
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.81
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.48
Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.26
Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24.05
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$77.36
Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.16
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.36
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
WLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.69
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.51
PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.7
Will SHOKU win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.84
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.69
Will Mark Cuban launch a coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.64
No Trump coin reaches $1b?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.75
Will TRUMP reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
Pump.fun banned in the US before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.08
PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Rabby airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
Base airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.51
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Berachain launch a token in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$24.25
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$16.47
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST190%0 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.14
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.98
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.95
Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.9
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.55
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.81
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$14.84
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST180%0 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will Jeremy Jordan win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.48
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.07
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.18
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will "Carnival" by Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign featuring Rich the Kid and Playboi Carti win Best Rap Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will "Ruined Me" by Muni Long win Best R&B Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will "I Had Some Help" by Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen win Best Country Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Jay-Z arrested in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20.58
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$135.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.23
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$179.36
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.8
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$824.08
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$318.22
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$419.44
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$291.9
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$59.94
Will England win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$172.55
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$803.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.63
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,953.4
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.7
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+182.5%+$904.4
Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-0backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.37
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+109.1%+$223.94
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.45
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,242
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Juan Soto sign with the New York Mets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$25.93
Will Juan Soto sign with the Los Angeles Dodgers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$11.49
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.1
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.37
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will George Russell win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$16.69
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$41.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.13
Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.09
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.58
Will Trump attend the launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.66
SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.15
SpaceX 6th Starship launch reaches space?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.62
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.68
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.38
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 180 or more times on Truth March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.18
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.2
Will Trump post 220-239 times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
Will Trump post 240 or more times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times Nov 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+1,546.4%+$205.41
Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$11.59
Will Trump tweet 60-69 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$15.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will Wei Yi win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$12.78
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$14.68
Will Denis Lazavik win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+49.8%+$398.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Joe Biden attend the Army-Navy game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$18.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glean IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.