Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656c4e16da2fee857f9b9c49a2a04821134a767fd69657490b16a923ecd64007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,671,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,890,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,671,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 8c | 274,680$20,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,984.67 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…9230backed Yes | 5c | 43,038$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 80c | 28,323$22,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 70c | 27,334$19,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…a300backed Yes | 7c | 24,476$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 23,392$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.68 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 22,577$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.76 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 65c | 20,436$13,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.9 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…ad14backed Yes | 37c | 18,512$6,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,938.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 34c | 16,464$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.8 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 15,903$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.84 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 15,603$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.64 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…450cbacked Yes | 34c | 14,227$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 62c | 12,340$7,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 3c | 11,235$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,012$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.84 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 10c | 10,415$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 39c | 10,246$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 19c | 10,150$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 2c | 9,686$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes | 36c | 8,798$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…6bc0backed Yes | 35c | 8,571$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 71c | 7,556$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 65c | 7,426$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.76 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 72c | 7,000$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.98 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 42c | 6,645$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,591$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 76c | 6,558$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 68c | 6,545$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 76c | 6,134$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.48 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed Yes | 39c | 6,104$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 61c | 6,100$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.99 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 29c | 5,901$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 4c | 5,573$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 30c | 5,486$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.11 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 5,296$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 26c | 5,253$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.87 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 65c | 5,250$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.76 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 65c | 5,237$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.51 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 5,235$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 5,200$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 5,153$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 18c | 5,035$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.37 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…9919backed Yes | 11c | 4,544$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 40c | 4,537$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 22c | 4,134$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 64c | 4,035$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,863$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed Yes | 26c | 3,829$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 75c | 3,750$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,745$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 76c | 3,680$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 63c | 3,606$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…0b53backed Yes | 2c | 3,566$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 6c | 3,557$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 76c | 3,517$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,462$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…10e5backed Yes | 39c | 3,136$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…d00ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,059$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 26c | 3,050$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,791$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 48c | 2,748$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…358cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,674$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…0f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,642$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 65c | 2,614$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.95 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 27c | 2,455$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.69 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 27c | 2,310$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.73 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…000fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,292$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,273$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,250$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 46c | 2,182$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…1e3ebacked No | 78c | 1,950$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 65c | 1,908$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…9c45backed Yes | 38c | 1,887$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,869$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 61c | 1,868$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…3921backed Yes | 27c | 1,866$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 26c | 1,841$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.73 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 2c | 1,805$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 29c | 1,748$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b032backed Yes | 9c | 1,688$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,678$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…4305backed Yes | 27c | 1,677$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…4faabacked Yes | 24c | 1,675$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…9ad1backed Yes | 38c | 1,629$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…5cf7backed No | 69c | 1,602$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 3c | 1,599$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,581$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.