Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29969b8b233f707f5eb7a771ad6c1c7c19bb8f36890883f11c441450a762019f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 21c | 7,737$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.39 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 78c | 6,784$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.15 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 21c | 5,576$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 4,135$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.59 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 23c | 3,130$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 60c | 2,597$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.8 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 55c | 2,521$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.48 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 2,513$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.83 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 22c | 1,925$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.18 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 39c | 1,699$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.48 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…38e3backed Yes | 16c | 1,454$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,281$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 41c | 1,260$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.93 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…6311backed Yes | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,150$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.37 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 66c | 1,035$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.74 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 13c | 958.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 866.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.03 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 75c | 775.52$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 60c | 719.56$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 58c | 672.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 536$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 32c | 516.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Yes | 58c | 514.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 29c | 498.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 72c | 469.38$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes | 9c | 452.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 14c | 433.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 28c | 395.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…fa54backed Yes | 22c | 381.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…e83fbacked Yes | 18c | 373.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 34c | 340$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 59c | 334.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…5534backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +288.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 17c | 314.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 18c | 307$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 302$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…d9edbacked Yes | 46c | 290$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 267.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…edb3backed Yes | 59c | 264.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 27c | 246.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 12c | 244.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 20c | 244.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…532fbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…ca80backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 56c | 237$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 59c | 200.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 62c | 195.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 59c | 194.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 9c | 193.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 25c | 176.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 159.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 158$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…ca66backed Yes | 13c | 155.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +396.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…a003backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 16c | 148.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 15c | 147.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 60c | 143.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Yes | 59c | 143.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 142.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked No | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 32c | 119$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 15c | 110.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 104.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed No | 72c | 102.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…5564backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…1d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 88.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…becdbacked Yes | 21c | 87.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +386.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…5f70backed Yes | 23c | 80.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 17c | 72.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…3cbebacked Yes | 60c | 71.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 78c | 68.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…c7a6backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…2354backed Yes | 24c | 62.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 19c | 61.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 56.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bc…a01abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…26c6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…2a53backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 47.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 56c | 45.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win the World Cup?this page
- Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.