Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14c22168b5c5f10c33a96151117aab7ed2731378def297fd4ba4b21711768bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 20c | 18,016$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.35 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 38c | 11,501$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.68 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 58c | 8,742$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.54 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 13c | 8,519$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 80c | 7,128$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.28 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 78c | 5,060$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.11 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 29c | 3,727$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.61 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 76c | 2,380$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 65c | 1,887$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,414$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed No | 59c | 966.83$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.29 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 21c | 914$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…e304backed Yes | 14c | 852.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 42c | 845.28$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 13c | 838$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 62c | 828.4$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 60c | 797.76$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 13c | 783$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 12c | 728.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 10c | 660$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 17c | 600.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6938backed Yes | 13c | 567.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…7f71backed No | 58c | 564.15$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 443$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 442.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 428.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 37c | 426.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…095dbacked Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 19c | 412.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 79c | 407.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…2913backed Yes | 15c | 404.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…9e98backed Yes | 13c | 402.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 77c | 341.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…69b7backed Yes | 18c | 324.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…cccfbacked Yes | 16c | 319.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 75c | 307$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 16c | 302.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…5010backed Yes | 19c | 291.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…2273backed Yes | 11c | 267.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 68c | 265.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ba07backed Yes | 13c | 238.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 58c | 233.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 11c | 232.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d86…8c34backed Yes | 12c | 231.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +263.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…5536backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 212.05$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 8c | 199.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 192.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed No | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 189.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 169.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 150.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 72c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 45c | 147.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 66c | 147.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4e63backed Yes | 19c | 145.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 10c | 141.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…804fbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 62c | 126$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…e83fbacked Yes | 14c | 123.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 121.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 9c | 118.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 39c | 116.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…31e9backed Yes | 44c | 114.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed No | 73c | 112.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 31c | 110.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 28c | 102.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 102.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 41c | 102.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6210backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…a94ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 43c | 95.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…4658backed Yes | 43c | 94.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 40c | 93.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 14c | 88.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…5f70backed Yes | 21c | 80.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 80.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…22f5backed Yes | 21c | 63.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…9e25backed No | 58c | 63.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…0c9ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 60c | 60.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?this page
- Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.