Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f602753787aca77b7fa2f06a6fc999ed790ca9ebeafd2da6d138dda1568ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3167…1cc7backed Yes | 0c | 16,430$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 10,195$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.99 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 53c | 9,979$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.25 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 26c | 8,652$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.31 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 58c | 6,580$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 41c | 6,559$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.69 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 41c | 5,888$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.98 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 55c | 5,118$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 52c | 4,969$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.27 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 39c | 3,297$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.31 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…e652backed Yes | 61c | 3,217$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 23c | 3,089$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.09 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 73c | 2,716$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.54 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 52c | 2,715$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.06 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed Yes | 9c | 2,450$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes | 7c | 2,350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 52c | 2,322$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.55 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 2,130$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.22 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…f23bbacked No | 40c | 2,090$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 60c | 1,874$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.34 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 40c | 1,854$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.64 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…8961backed Yes | 41c | 1,833$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 74c | 1,612$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 43c | 1,594$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.44 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 1,569$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,427$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.43 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…57f1backed Yes | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 40c | 1,106$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.72 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 23c | 1,090$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.7 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Yes | 59c | 979$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 20c | 911.05$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…cd21backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 77c | 794.81$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…21febacked Yes | 60c | 710.25$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 76c | 701.42$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 651.39$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…34d2backed No | 39c | 641.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 59c | 640.64$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 5c | 627.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 77c | 612.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed Yes | 41c | 607.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 595.77$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 47c | 569.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 18c | 557.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 72c | 503.14$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…cef9backed Yes | 46c | 492.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 479.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 454.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 58c | 453.14$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…4760backed Yes | 57c | 445$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Yes | 47c | 428.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…d760backed Yes | 25c | 422.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 41c | 409.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 43c | 391.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 391.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 28c | 377.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…5fb4backed Yes | 61c | 363.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…9643backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…31f4backed Yes | 62c | 356.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed Yes | 42c | 354.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 44c | 345.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 19c | 337.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 27c | 336.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…7f71backed No | 42c | 336.19$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 60c | 334.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 74c | 334.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes | 46c | 322.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 24c | 310$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 37c | 289.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 28c | 288.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 49c | 276.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 262.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 248.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 79c | 230.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 228.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 52c | 226.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 67c | 223.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…6610backed Yes | 34c | 218.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…9f7ebacked Yes | 47c | 214.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 48c | 210.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 44c | 210.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 38c | 207.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…1a84backed Yes | 23c | 207.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 41c | 202.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 202$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 201.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…f051backed Yes | 48c | 198.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 73c | 195.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 46c | 190.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…f720backed Yes | 55c | 186.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 70c | 184.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 58c | 180.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…eac1backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 76c | 164.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 164$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 63c | 156$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.