Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b08bb1d4e4d7b5636e6d7633e031aa591b608a85c262ba372d4d9d3ea535d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 27c | 5,954$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.11 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 28c | 3,636$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 25c | 2,507$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.86 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 2,482$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.66 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,204$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.93 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 2,096$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659b…ffbdbacked No | 74c | 1,717$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 11c | 1,387$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 78c | 1,060$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 952.77$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…e9bbbacked Yes | 27c | 750$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 79c | 699.97$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 682.62$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…f765backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…cfb1backed No | 75c | 656.71$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 627.03$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 17c | 596.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 590.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 16c | 500.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 489.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…d0d1backed Yes | 21c | 470.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 459$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed No | 75c | 456.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 17c | 447.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 17c | 440.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 20c | 413.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…530abacked Yes | 17c | 402.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 385$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 79c | 363.36$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 15c | 354.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 13c | 311$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 26c | 307.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 75c | 307.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…c6bdbacked Yes | 17c | 296.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 290.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 13c | 290.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 5c | 290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 15c | 286.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…4870backed Yes | 18c | 277.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 256$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 17c | 247.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 72c | 225.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…4ef2backed Yes | 26c | 208.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 17c | 199$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 26c | 198.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…c284backed No | 74c | 194$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…a76bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 80c | 187.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5c…d18dbacked Yes | 27c | 183.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 74c | 180.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…ac82backed Yes | 28c | 176.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed Yes | 29c | 175.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 79c | 173$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes | 16c | 152.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…7f71backed No | 75c | 146.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 145.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…7aa2backed Yes | 26c | 142.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 15c | 139.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 131.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…4c84backed Yes | 21c | 117.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 9c | 115.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 15c | 108.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59e…f953backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 76c | 104.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b4…8467backed Yes | 23c | 101.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 74c | 100.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…6182backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…c8d8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 97.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 15c | 93.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked No | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…5536backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…a8c9backed No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 79c | 87.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…9296backed Yes | 26c | 83.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 14c | 76.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…19a3backed Yes | 15c | 75.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…2294backed Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 75c | 69.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.