TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a68…6679

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
417
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 64 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT15362.7%96 W · 57 L+22.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$151.96
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.22
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$65.49
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$103.04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54%+$1,219.68
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76%+$761.3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$426.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$137.55
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.17
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.32
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$168.84
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.17
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.64
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$436.8
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82%+$693.6
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$545.97
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$198.95
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$969.36
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$152.82
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.93
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+176.8%+$517.39
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68%+$510.9
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$470.92
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$147.46
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$43.4
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,289.5
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$93.94
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.01
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$381.45
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.84
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.61
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$317
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$86.57
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$133.99
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.99
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$431.99
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$83.19
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$97.45
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.95
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$171.99
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.56
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$138
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.28
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$574.49
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$1,670.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$689.99
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$634.7
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,213
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.99
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$90.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.99
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.34
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$482
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$151.37
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$165.23
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.32
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$11
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$146.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44%+$175.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$126.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$75.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$110.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$1,477.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$73.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$117
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.33
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.83
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$879.73
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Franz Wagner win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Alperen Şengün win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$20
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$286
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.92
Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.42
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$73.4
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.88
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$192
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.98
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$62.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.75
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$141.46
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$26.9
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$306
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$1,101
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$1,432.5
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$1,520.96
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.51
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$533.23
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+199.8%+$25.6
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+306.8%+$400.34
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$267.36
Will Japan win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.77
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113%+$530.33
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Norway win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.1%+$999.35
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.17
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Will Julia Simon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$64.98
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$546.42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$195.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.13
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed SpaceX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,514.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.