Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d352ec1d718dd1f2d2fdb93d65fd3908cf34755d1aa45a8697a84d2b5ae1e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,700,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,554,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,700,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 17c | 401,845$67,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,612.45 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 8c | 187,190$14,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,551.14 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 22c | 180,584$39,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,030.01 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 76c | 123,919$94,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,711.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed Yes | 9c | 72,319$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 12c | 48,905$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…1c9abacked Yes | 67c | 45,206$30,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,083.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 61c | 43,116$26,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,773.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 7c | 33,300$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 17c | 29,935$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.85 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 8c | 23,706$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 7c | 22,026$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 6c | 22,014$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 8c | 20,982$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 15c | 18,431$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.13 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 19c | 17,610$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 6c | 17,092$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 27c | 12,325$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 16c | 11,480$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 75c | 11,269$8,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.69 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 16c | 10,414$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 29c | 10,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 10,202$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.91 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 20c | 9,443$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.75 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed Yes | 37c | 8,104$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 26c | 7,939$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.6 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 21c | 7,717$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.28 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…c1e1backed Yes | 4c | 7,432$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,380$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,053$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 75c | 6,831$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.98 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 6,679$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.82 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 12c | 6,672$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…486fbacked Yes | 15c | 6,385$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 33c | 6,231$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 32c | 5,987$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 67c | 5,793$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.53 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 3c | 5,786$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 25c | 5,720$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.93 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes | 53c | 5,698$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 49c | 5,598$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fd29backed Yes | 23c | 5,298$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4098…8a15backed Yes | 5c | 5,291$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 78c | 5,071$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.56 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +336.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,991$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.02 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…046fbacked Yes | 20c | 4,963$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…e696backed Yes | 9c | 4,835$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 24c | 4,389$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.09 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…ee5ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,103$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 9c | 4,051$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.68 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,015$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,900$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 25c | 3,876$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked No | 59c | 3,861$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 68c | 3,852$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 62c | 3,833$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.99 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 14c | 3,748$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…e787backed Yes | 4c | 3,638$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…b1dfbacked Yes | 5c | 3,595$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 40c | 3,536$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 7c | 3,421$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1c…9d77backed Yes | 5c | 3,385$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 78c | 3,297$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 15c | 3,289$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfc…4ce7backed Yes | 4c | 3,272$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…9bd9backed Yes | 5c | 3,220$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 16c | 3,197$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 27c | 3,063$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.91 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…7a05backed Yes | 13c | 3,060$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 39c | 3,047$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.26 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…2c84backed Yes | 4c | 2,947$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 28c | 2,921$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 41c | 2,863$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 7c | 2,834$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 4c | 2,697$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 59c | 2,513$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 2,468$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,200$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…3b4fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,150$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 2,111$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Yes | 24c | 2,076$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5fd5backed Yes | 24c | 2,016$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…f7afbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…c38bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,955$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Yes | 18c | 1,945$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 19c | 1,923$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,851$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,805$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 47c | 1,785$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…e56dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,731$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 47c | 1,670$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,644$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.