Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b382feeb97121c8bd5fe0fe0ab8272b955e741ac7117ee691a2460896f43ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 32c | 52,418$16,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,439.3 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd4…50fabacked No | 0c | 15,908$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 11,400$8,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383.73 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 58c | 11,086$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 64c | 10,142$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4527backed No | 19c | 7,506$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 29c | 7,461$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.49 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 28c | 6,500$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 33c | 6,171$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.7 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 61c | 6,156$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.44 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 62c | 5,634$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.76 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 22c | 4,616$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.1 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 63c | 4,585$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.99 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 51c | 3,793$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.62 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…84fcbacked No | 0c | 3,352$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 65c | 3,333$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.44 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 3,045$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.57 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7backed No | 71c | 2,745$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 68c | 2,499$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.82 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes | 39c | 2,483$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 55c | 2,295$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed No | 45c | 2,289$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,007$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.4 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.97 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,735$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.89 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 19c | 1,561$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 61c | 1,438$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.31 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9713backed Yes | 51c | 1,265$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 59c | 1,259$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 40c | 1,247$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed No | 50c | 1,193$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…04a9backed No | 2c | 1,050$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 55c | 1,003$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 992.59$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 957.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Yes | 21c | 874.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed No | 68c | 862.56$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 51c | 826.18$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…b9a4backed Yes | 33c | 799.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked No | 59c | 777.97$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 57c | 761.58$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 50c | 756.33$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…75ddbacked No | 35c | 735$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed No | 46c | 729.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 58c | 720$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 48c | 693$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 54c | 660.71$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 62c | 638.35$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 80c | 638.27$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 77c | 625.54$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 79c | 602.88$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 64c | 602.86$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 25c | 586.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…c88ebacked No | 66c | 576.44$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 18c | 562.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 54c | 550.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…2561backed Yes | 63c | 548.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 64c | 547.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…1eecbacked Yes | 73c | 527.6$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9backed Yes | 44c | 527.51$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed No | 78c | 520$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…cb9abacked No | 58c | 518.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 54cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 55c | 495.54$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 484.26$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 38c | 478.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked No | 77c | 471.38$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked No | 76c | 469.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd4…c1c2backed No | 30c | 451.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…c3d2backed Yes | 44c | 451.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57b6backed No | 80c | 449.12$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 29c | 442.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Yes | 26c | 437.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 38c | 436.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed No | 51c | 429.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 75c | 427.76$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.35 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 67c | 419.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…9215backed No | 62c | 416.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed No | 71c | 415.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 59c | 409.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed Yes | 52c | 400$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed No | 53c | 397.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed Yes | 52c | 375.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 66c | 372.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 52c | 363.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ba12backed No | 43c | 360.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 37c | 358.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…5a4dbacked No | 34c | 357.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed No | 49c | 346.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked No | 61c | 338.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.