Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335f5ef09fa8a90a55afb75b2ccc93854a38de9af172b4c19d8269daba90376a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $867,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $820,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 3c | 127,594$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.8 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 5c | 89,722$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.14 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 42,788$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 5c | 30,186$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…b8dcbacked Yes | 1c | 15,697$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 4c | 15,368$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 3c | 13,034$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,518$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 8c | 11,111$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 3c | 10,165$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 6c | 9,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 4c | 8,812$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,295$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 7,984$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…d9b9backed Yes | 2c | 7,799$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 6c | 7,777$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 7,331$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,966$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,215$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…dd55backed Yes | 4c | 5,821$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,800$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 5c | 3,249$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,932$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 4c | 2,776$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…a0b1backed Yes | 8c | 2,380$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 5c | 2,193$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 5c | 2,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 1c | 1,929$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,860$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…e9fcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,556$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,549$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,512$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…9b8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,495$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,442$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…8a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,357$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…e50bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,235$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked Yes | 10c | 1,227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 1,204$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 3c | 1,187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…6f1abacked Yes | 11c | 1,082$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,055$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 4c | 1,046$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…d688backed Yes | 8c | 1,044$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 3c | 991.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 15c | 984.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…9f63backed Yes | 5c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Yes | 3c | 900.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…1b86backed Yes | 2c | 883.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 3c | 853.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 3c | 845.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6e71backed Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 692.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 690.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…ab0dbacked Yes | 2c | 669.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 9c | 630.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 3c | 593.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 9c | 542.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…04a9backed Yes | 3c | 539.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 3c | 517.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 7c | 509.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 6c | 501.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…c987backed Yes | 4c | 482.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 2c | 467.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…ccb4backed Yes | 7c | 444.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…6301backed Yes | 3c | 418.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…75ddbacked Yes | 3c | 398.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…04f5backed Yes | 16c | 330.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9c25backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 282.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf4…77a7backed Yes | 15c | 250.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 7c | 214.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Yes | 13c | 187.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 9c | 170.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 11c | 159.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…86debacked Yes | 15c | 129.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 13c | 112.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…7fb5backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 12c | 94.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…4540backed Yes | 13c | 78.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 80c | 73.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.