Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5062a23690144ef266851c95571c63af1f8b06b14607fe859b9d3bc7ed9d2813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $914,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,013,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 5c | 75,320$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.18 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 7c | 67,602$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.13 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 2c | 24,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 2c | 23,384$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 1c | 22,618$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 17,239$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.03 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 9c | 12,290$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.37 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…07cbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 5c | 9,963$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…3b4fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,008$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…85ddbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,875$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.89 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 11c | 5,601$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 5,199$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 4c | 5,146$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,076$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 5c | 4,707$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,628$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Yes | 22c | 3,489$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 11c | 3,433$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…9b8abacked Yes | 2c | 3,263$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 25c | 3,235$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 12c | 3,088$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6e71backed Yes | 9c | 2,900$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed Yes | 4c | 2,603$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed No | 73c | 2,500$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 80c | 2,341$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.97 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 5c | 2,312$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Yes | 8c | 2,277$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,207$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…84fcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,112$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 2c | 1,855$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,852$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 5c | 1,835$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,755$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…486fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,588$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…a0b1backed Yes | 12c | 1,533$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 79c | 1,492$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…9d6fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,422$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 2c | 1,326$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,294$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 2c | 1,284$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,226$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 4c | 1,173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…3171backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,092$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 11c | 1,081$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 24c | 1,080$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,002$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +321.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 948.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 4c | 781.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 3c | 748.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed Yes | 5c | 734$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 13c | 721.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…18fabacked Yes | 7c | 706.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 705.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 17c | 691.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 5c | 680.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec8…d919backed Yes | 3c | 638.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 627.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…648abacked Yes | 4c | 625.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes | 7c | 625.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…5b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 619.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 2c | 615.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…c987backed Yes | 8c | 609.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 8c | 608.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked Yes | 8c | 591.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…9a9fbacked Yes | 20c | 566.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 78c | 562.27$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 11c | 539.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…39b2backed Yes | 2c | 536.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 19c | 504.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 3c | 491.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…2f79backed Yes | 3c | 479.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 18c | 477.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 3c | 461.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…703bbacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 13cpaid | +258%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 7c | 449.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 8c | 449.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 3c | 435.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…759ebacked Yes | 5c | 417.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…1b86backed Yes | 4c | 369.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 14c | 361.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 5c | 359.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 6c | 347.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 10c | 304.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…c04fbacked Yes | 6c | 302.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.