Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa5b3d9e618d3f7dbda457b95af3b45d23e53d5b90b7474638769d0003a30bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $888,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 3c | 140,289$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.79 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2540backed Yes | 29c | 23,623$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 75c | 19,820$14,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.27 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 6c | 17,302$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.18 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 26c | 12,609$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.76 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 22c | 12,041$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.82 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…ad29backed Yes | 0c | 6,382$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 5c | 6,173$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,268$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 24c | 4,856$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.5 | 303 | 43.2%131 W · 172 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,577$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,909$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 68c | 3,898$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 5c | 3,596$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 23c | 3,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,173$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed Yes | 1c | 2,738$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,592$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 3c | 2,575$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…df53backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,862$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 67c | 1,833$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 6c | 1,817$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 75c | 1,693$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.74 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes | 24c | 1,682$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,364$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 1,343$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 62c | 1,215$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 10c | 1,180$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd127…a352backed Yes | 22c | 1,133$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 24c | 1,030$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.22 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 76c | 1,005$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +526.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 19c | 999.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 20c | 988.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Yes | 4c | 954.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 931.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 77c | 891.49$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.32 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Yes | 5c | 865.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 25c | 860.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 65c | 835$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed No | 74c | 780.04$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…e863backed Yes | 24c | 731.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 23c | 718.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 17c | 683.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 18c | 651.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed No | 78c | 641.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…195ebacked No | 79c | 578.23$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 549.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 541.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…68fbbacked No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…2b32backed Yes | 19c | 503.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 11c | 478.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 437$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 4c | 420.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 20c | 407.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 396.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…b8e9backed Yes | 3c | 395.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…9a9fbacked No | 70c | 394$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…1fbcbacked No | 78c | 352.84$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 6c | 349.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 327.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 25c | 326.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 79c | 324.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 78c | 320$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…7982backed Yes | 16c | 312.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…1960backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…1575backed Yes | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…6ca1backed No | 68c | 299.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 4c | 292.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 6c | 279.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…8382backed No | 79c | 272.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…9d62backed Yes | 17c | 265.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 261.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 14c | 255.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…d5e9backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 6c | 214$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked No | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.