Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140c41f4491c885da7763e4111ca13fb169d907d73d3918429f98e1c1862aab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $840,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $909,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $840,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 49c | 110,145$53,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,622.72 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 52c | 102,763$53,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,722.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 43c | 48,777$21,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,056.41 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 44,214$32,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,569.85 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 53c | 23,000$12,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,697.45 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 52c | 17,646$9,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,428.87 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 53c | 13,000$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,855.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 30c | 11,924$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 18c | 11,581$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,457.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 18c | 11,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 52c | 10,260$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 34c | 10,004$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.63 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed Yes | 16c | 9,828$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 60c | 8,948$5,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 48c | 8,871$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 54c | 8,755$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.27 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 73c | 8,417$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 74c | 7,975$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 73c | 7,658$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.65 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 48c | 7,631$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…7d85backed Yes | 49c | 7,164$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed Yes | 54c | 6,737$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 43c | 5,806$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.03 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 41c | 5,505$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.46 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 78c | 4,925$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.31 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 47c | 4,531$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 30c | 4,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.95 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 48c | 3,962$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 48c | 3,760$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 49c | 3,710$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 47c | 3,641$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.26 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 42c | 3,587$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.86 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 3,526$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.89 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 33c | 3,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…0202backed Yes | 17c | 3,489$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +651.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 32c | 2,951$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.14 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 18c | 2,754$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…c4f4backed No | 69c | 2,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 68c | 2,600$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 29c | 2,595$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.18 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 26c | 2,589$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.31 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 72c | 2,550$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 48c | 2,523$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,509$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 73c | 2,480$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,413$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.71 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 74c | 2,378$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.13 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 49c | 2,295$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 50c | 2,224$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.85 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed No | 40c | 2,214$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 38c | 2,212$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.43 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,042$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,035$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…3339backed Yes | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 61c | 1,722$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.17 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 15c | 1,701$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.87 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 20c | 1,680$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.58 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,671$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.34 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 56c | 1,625$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 61c | 1,618$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.83 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked No | 46c | 1,600$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 58c | 1,600$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 63c | 1,600$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked No | 69c | 1,589$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 1,542$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.16 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 40c | 1,541$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.39 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 74c | 1,499$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.27 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…7a35backed Yes | 50c | 1,400$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 15c | 1,382$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 75c | 1,350$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 43c | 1,319$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.24 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,294$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.11 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…8984backed No | 51c | 1,241$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 15c | 1,212$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…48a5backed Yes | 54c | 1,185$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 68c | 1,150$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed No | 13c | 1,146$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 23c | 1,131$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.71 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 49c | 1,086$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 46c | 1,068$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Yes | 74c | 1,042$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb048…7f07backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.1 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…f329backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…27d2backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed No | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe879…6d22backed No | 73c | 999.99$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…740bbacked No | 48c | 995.3$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 53c | 991.64$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 61c | 986.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.