TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7609…6c4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$7,509.99
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,319.99
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$6,000
Norway leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$660
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,120
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$1,720
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,560
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,614.99
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.98
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.98
Morocco to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,119.98
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$870
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$285.04
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,500
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,530
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.97
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$1,220
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,109.97
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,800
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.96
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.93
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$165.65
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$369.85
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$624.38
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.12
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$241.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$2,832.05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,389.98
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,415.86
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,865.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,675
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.01
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$6,199.98
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.09
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,009
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,965
Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zhengbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,369.99
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,279.99
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.97
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,349.95
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,019.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,050
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,214.99
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.82
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$64.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$900
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,081.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$264.47
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$870
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$393.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67%+$453.8
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.07
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$68.13
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.37
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+60%+$482.38
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,430Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$5,569.95
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,483Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$986.15
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,464.84
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.99
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$2,114.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$273.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$113.99
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$325.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$295.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$439.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$463.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.