AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7508771c189bd3b5126cd49dd2c00d531c83e69a6b3d1f13876ba9fa987daad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 2c | 56,361$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 5c | 24,203$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.11 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 10,025$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.69 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…e654backed No | 68c | 7,580$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,350$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…23c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,591$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 46c | 4,800$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes | 16c | 4,735$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked Yes | 60c | 4,351$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 24c | 3,929$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.6 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 33c | 3,928$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 12c | 3,666$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed Yes | 8c | 3,650$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 2c | 3,470$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…732fbacked No | 23c | 3,456$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +340.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,043$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 9c | 1,928$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,810$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.67 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…ed38backed Yes | 21c | 1,762$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 52c | 1,692$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.76 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 58c | 1,665$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.37 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,660$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 22c | 1,602$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…10f8backed Yes | 20c | 1,588$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 16c | 1,579$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…cd19backed Yes | 79c | 1,512$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…5bfcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,437$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…88e7backed Yes | 17c | 1,418$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 77c | 1,408$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.12 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes | 10c | 1,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 42c | 1,373$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,349$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 1,288$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.22 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 45c | 1,263$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 26c | 1,234$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…e61bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…444fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,094$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,077$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,076$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 13c | 1,074$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 54c | 1,050$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.6 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,024$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 27c | 1,014$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…cc4abacked No | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…a30ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e66…f4eabacked No | 52c | 980.46$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8768backed Yes | 4c | 927.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…136bbacked Yes | 23c | 885.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 5c | 813.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…2c08backed Yes | 30c | 793.26$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…23e8backed Yes | 60c | 769.19$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…ccadbacked No | 18c | 765.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…6d1bbacked Yes | 19c | 751.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed No | 26c | 744.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 62c | 735.53$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…eee5backed Yes | 18c | 728.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 679.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…9f79backed Yes | 15c | 664.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…3d92backed Yes | 2c | 657.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 13c | 644.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 629.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 67c | 608.95$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…fee4backed Yes | 48c | 607.21$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…64adbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…a6c0backed Yes | 11c | 557.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 18c | 555.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 543.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…5f55backed Yes | 29c | 526.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…a414backed Yes | 38c | 521.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…cfa1backed Yes | 3c | 500.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 71c | 500$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 56c | 499.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 45c | 492.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…a120backed No | 73c | 484.86$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…b5c4backed Yes | 4c | 480.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 4c | 473.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…beefbacked Yes | 13c | 473.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes | 14c | 463.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…68f0backed Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 80c | 456.17$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked No | 66c | 455.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 18c | 451.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 61c | 444.51$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 25c | 440$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 55c | 436.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…9185backed No | 15c | 436.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +578.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 14c | 412.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…0569backed Yes | 10c | 411.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a9d4backed Yes | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 66c | 396.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 38c | 394.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9e7cbacked No | 46c | 392.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.