AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69b388ee2691abc5a2b4d66d9212053782c88f30e26f3b791111e562d327224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bb…f88abacked Yes | 51c | 12,238$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 50c | 12,002$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.64 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8ea8backed No | 76c | 9,324$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed Yes | 24c | 8,638$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 59c | 8,474$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed No | 68c | 7,452$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.38 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 72c | 7,225$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed Yes | 39c | 7,099$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 14c | 5,583$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.53 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…46cfbacked Yes | 22c | 5,088$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 2c | 5,013$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…e654backed No | 29c | 4,974$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 12c | 4,704$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.28 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed Yes | 11c | 4,667$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 14c | 4,646$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.62 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 3,801$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…6cadbacked No | 26c | 3,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…5cf2backed Yes | 2c | 3,428$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…6868backed No | 25c | 3,302$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Yes | 4c | 3,263$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…4409backed No | 54c | 3,170$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 19c | 3,145$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.03 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 74c | 3,079$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 75c | 3,059$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.18 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,884$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.61 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked No | 18c | 2,800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 2,735$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…8031backed Yes | 11c | 2,512$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 3c | 2,479$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 18c | 2,471$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.82 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…d3c5backed Yes | 16c | 2,459$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…c966backed Yes | 12c | 2,418$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…110bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…5b37backed No | 18c | 2,181$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +442.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 5c | 2,130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 54c | 2,027$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,966$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.17 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed No | 26c | 1,950$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b4…95e9backed Yes | 50c | 1,895$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 22c | 1,860$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,856$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked Yes | 65c | 1,808$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…2bb0backed No | 8c | 1,720$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +340.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 18c | 1,700$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…99edbacked No | 11c | 1,658$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +773.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,571$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 32c | 1,567$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.13 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,386$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed No | 13c | 1,363$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.29 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 76c | 1,350$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.31 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 14c | 1,330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.33 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…e1c5backed Yes | 11c | 1,327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,313$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 31c | 1,301$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…0b01backed No | 9c | 1,207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…9eb3backed Yes | 10c | 1,206$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked No | 20c | 1,206$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 76c | 1,204$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 18c | 1,185$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.51 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 5c | 1,176$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…00a0backed No | 26c | 1,136$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 1,130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,129$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 1,123$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 63c | 1,116$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 1,115$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.07 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…382dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,115$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…ab29backed Yes | 43c | 1,073$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 31c | 1,068$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed Yes | 69c | 1,066$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked No | 12c | 980.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…810dbacked Yes | 10c | 968.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed No | 25c | 960.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565e…875dbacked No | 15c | 955.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +229.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 42c | 952.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.03 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 26c | 906.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.13 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…0debbacked Yes | 2c | 888.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Yes | 25c | 888.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…ea72backed Yes | 31c | 868.11$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…2943backed No | 18c | 857.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 12c | 849.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…63e0backed No | 19c | 810$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…4b8fbacked No | 14c | 809.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 8c | 800$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed Yes | 52c | 794.07$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…2ceebacked No | 24c | 778.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 20c | 760.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 38c | 752.43$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.41 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed No | 65c | 733.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…ed21backed No | 35c | 708.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 66c | 689.21$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.44 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 683.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.32 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 62c | 680.02$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…4736backed Yes | 7c | 670.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…3591backed Yes | 61c | 659.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…31ccbacked No | 12c | 655.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +179%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.