TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe018…a22d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT9058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$7.29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$6.93
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$49.1
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.73
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+259.5%+$71.92
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$33.75
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$46.56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$21.68
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$9.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$7.1
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.37
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 22 above $345?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.18
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$138.6
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $345?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.69
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445.92
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$1,466.32
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.52
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$187.16
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.21
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$638.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$54.78
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.73
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 1 above $370?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.01
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $315?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 25 above $275?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $620?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $440?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.34
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.72
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$961.55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.37
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,819.34
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,652.1
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,035.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$13,674.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$287.98
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.61
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35%+$216.21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$225.19
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.83
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$145.49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$458.42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$75.44
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$38.51
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+460.6%+$2,001.66
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,182.47
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,241.87
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+358.1%+$4,223.42
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+220.8%+$1,355.44
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.28
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.49
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+69.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-66.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+504.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of AC Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$29.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$13.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.