AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff94ce9a874202523ac828138d0a2d5ffc2f3899fccbda5505909c51df76277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed No | 42c | 6,861$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 68c | 6,455$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9c…024cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,329$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 14c | 6,237$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.01 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…a743backed Yes | 11c | 4,046$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…5cdcbacked Yes | 27c | 3,783$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 30c | 3,752$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.27 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…64adbacked No | 67c | 2,767$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 46c | 2,760$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.97 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 15c | 2,552$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.52 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9543…d35bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,505$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,501$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…e4cbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,190$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 19c | 2,142$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 9c | 2,140$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 77c | 2,051$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.67 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…f9efbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…6426backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,917$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.67 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…ff87backed Yes | 18c | 1,903$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f1…9986backed Yes | 16c | 1,856$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 75c | 1,824$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 20c | 1,756$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.36 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…2ecbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,752$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…9b27backed No | 29c | 1,643$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 70c | 1,613$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,607$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 59c | 1,533$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…ef39backed Yes | 27c | 1,524$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 17c | 1,514$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed Yes | 17c | 1,491$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 1,364$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,296$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 31c | 1,275$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…9ab1backed No | 79c | 1,268$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,258$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 70c | 1,250$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…cf52backed Yes | 80c | 1,225$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,215$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…c5ebbacked No | 40c | 1,189$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5fddbacked Yes | 8c | 1,163$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,155$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 75c | 1,100$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…f5abbacked Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Yes | 67c | 1,069$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…87f1backed Yes | 15c | 1,022$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 1,015$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 77c | 992.17$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 55c | 966.52$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…47c2backed Yes | 15c | 954.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 56c | 950$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed Yes | 15c | 944.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 937.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…c8d3backed Yes | 8c | 920$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…ffddbacked No | 38c | 900$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 888.16$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…8597backed Yes | 74c | 884.16$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 67c | 877.67$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39a6…ebddbacked Yes | 74c | 872.91$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed Yes | 13c | 824.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 822.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Yes | 27c | 818.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked Yes | 18c | 800$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 69c | 799.99$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 28c | 777$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked Yes | 10c | 729.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…34dabacked Yes | 8c | 706.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 697.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…cdc2backed Yes | 16c | 690.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…a592backed Yes | 30c | 681.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Yes | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 620.26$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Yes | 5c | 605.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…0b98backed Yes | 11c | 604.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 78c | 600$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 26c | 597.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.31 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…6294backed Yes | 8c | 592.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 578.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 25c | 540$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…dee0backed Yes | 52c | 524.15$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed No | 35c | 514.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 28c | 504.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…d5afbacked Yes | 14c | 480.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…88e3backed Yes | 14c | 464.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 52c | 459.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 66c | 455.22$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 35c | 441.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Yes | 59c | 435.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 80c | 422.48$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…5f91backed Yes | 13c | 417.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…6495backed Yes | 23c | 404$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 34c | 403.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…e142backed Yes | 35c | 400.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…72babacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…06e1backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…fd8abacked Yes | 10c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 398.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.