AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a9dc17214a900fab98a6cf77ec97e86cc5e3896320ad85000f5f506ac218c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 16c | 3,549$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…82b8backed Yes | 20c | 2,808$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,807$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 71c | 2,778$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…6f59backed Yes | 14c | 2,527$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 9c | 1,925$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…2e2abacked Yes | 10c | 1,468$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…8597backed Yes | 14c | 1,454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,401$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…37a7backed Yes | 16c | 1,376$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 66c | 1,362$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…dfd9backed Yes | 8c | 1,232$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,181$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…1032backed Yes | 14c | 1,050$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +625.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 5c | 1,022$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 1,019$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…724ebacked Yes | 9c | 850$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 11c | 766.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…2dd5backed Yes | 17c | 756.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…4eb4backed Yes | 21c | 717.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 12c | 695.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…3e6fbacked Yes | 3c | 689.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…bc8ebacked Yes | 7c | 674.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 643.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…1c40backed Yes | 17c | 640.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 592.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…c8e2backed Yes | 13c | 590$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 4c | 569.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…2b7cbacked Yes | 8c | 556.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 550.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 549.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 17c | 541.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…397abacked Yes | 9c | 536.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 533.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 9c | 528.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…6620backed Yes | 8c | 525.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 522.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…ab23backed Yes | 5c | 521.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…6ba1backed Yes | 20c | 517.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…7db3backed Yes | 5c | 513.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 22c | 483.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 31c | 472.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…6eabbacked Yes | 13c | 455.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 454.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e630backed Yes | 13c | 437.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…bd10backed Yes | 25c | 398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…f661backed Yes | 12c | 388.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes | 18c | 371.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…bee6backed No | 77c | 349.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…e23dbacked Yes | 6c | 312.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…c4aebacked Yes | 7c | 294.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…cf08backed Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 267.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…4ceebacked Yes | 6c | 263.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 262$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed Yes | 10c | 251$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…170bbacked Yes | 24c | 247.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 232.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…5b25backed Yes | 22c | 227.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 13c | 225.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…e488backed Yes | 11c | 220.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 195.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 12c | 188.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 60c | 182.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…e81dbacked Yes | 13c | 174.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 164.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…c4c4backed Yes | 13c | 145.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 31c | 145.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 16c | 132$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 76c | 130.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…dff7backed Yes | 12c | 118.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…f943backed Yes | 11c | 112.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…b222backed Yes | 49c | 111.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…7754backed Yes | 11c | 105.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…d5c6backed Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 25c | 103.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…04a2backed Yes | 12c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…a103backed Yes | 17c | 69.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7359…4c62backed Yes | 23c | 69.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4e08backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 73c | 36.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…3b70backed No | 80c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.