TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b02…b95f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
456
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT19470.6%137 W · 57 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$107.61
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.73
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$327.67
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.1
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.8
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$132.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$79.92
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$44
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$38.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26%+$22.7
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$17.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$88.66
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.87
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.75
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$86.36
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$22.73
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$235
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$126.35
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT11766.7%78 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+337.3%+$511.39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$50.05
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$158.88
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$47.72
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$15.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$38.75
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9.98
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+348.4%+$77.7
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$80.13
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$74.99
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+210.5%+$182.66
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.08
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$52.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.18
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.7%+$9.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-52.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.07
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Broncos vs. Falconsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.