TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over72c842.95$607 inWon+$236.022161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under28c729.6$206 inLost-$206.247240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c673.34$236 inLost-$236.421,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c468.38$286 inWon+$182.6773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c297.68$119 inLost-$118.5891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over74c210$155 inWon+$54.61650%8 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Over61c180.33$110 inWon+$70.332759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c128.5$36 inLost-$35.981,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over55c90.4$50 inWon+$40.683568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under32c73$23 inLost-$23.0544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c52.29$21 inLost-$21.2916456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under44c50$22 inLost-$2230957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over58c50$29 inWon+$21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over76c39.47$30 inWon+$9.471181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over59c37.29$22 inWon+$15.292152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Over60c36.67$22 inWon+$14.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c36.67$15 inLost-$14.6755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Over58c30$17 inWon+$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.