Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9fe4c5bce8217e33d4e0bfc43d94453192b79c85369c361a453c45a279506de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Fire FCof Inter Miami CF, Chicago Fire FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Inter Miami CF | 22c | 3,832$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.21 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Inter Miami CF | 22c | 1,557$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Inter Miami CF | 10c | 1,467$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Fire FC | 77c | 1,112$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inter Miami CF | 9c | 959.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inter Miami CF | 13c | 759.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Chicago Fire FC | 79c | 754.23$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Fire FC | 77c | 657.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Chicago Fire FC | 79c | 635.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Chicago Fire FC | 78c | 521.53$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Inter Miami CF | 27c | 362$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Inter Miami CF | 27c | 266.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Fire FC | 73c | 256$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Inter Miami CF | 11c | 239.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Chicago Fire FC | 74c | 153$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Inter Miami CF | 23c | 146.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Inter Miami CF | 22c | 139.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Inter Miami CF | 22c | 137.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Chicago Fire FC | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…262bbacked Chicago Fire FC | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Fire FC | 73c | 110.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Inter Miami CF | 16c | 85.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Fire FC | 78c | 85.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Inter Miami CF | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Inter Miami CF | 21c | 82.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chicago Fire FC | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Inter Miami CF | 22c | 75.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Inter Miami CF | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Fire FC | 80c | 70.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Chicago Fire FC | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Inter Miami CF | 21c | 69.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Inter Miami CF | 33c | 65.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Chicago Fire FC | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Fire FC | 68c | 44.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Inter Miami CF | 32c | 40.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 40.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Fire FC | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Fire FC | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Chicago Fire FC | 78c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Chicago Fire FC | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Chicago Fire FC | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Chicago Fire FC | 80c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.