TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked Under49c27,469$13,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,459.72948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Over51c11,765$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over51c7,535$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c3,108$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.3698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c3,068$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.117740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over51c2,935$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over51c1,696$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.03825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,581$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.233,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c1,549$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over50c1,519$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,229$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.3772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c1,223$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.1470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under51c1,207$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over51c1,191$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.581546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c1,051$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.421,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Under50c1,019$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Under61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over51c735.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over51c668.92$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.773046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over51c598.04$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under33c560.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c560.38$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1811633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c523.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.251,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over52c516.78$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over51c473.84$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.181485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+88.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c438.81$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed Over50c411.54$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over51c390.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under48c355.65$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over67c330.92$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.213253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c311.23$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over51c307.53$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over68c306$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.642378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under45c304.31$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+82%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Over52c303.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over51c290.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.413953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over70c289$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7516856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over51c287.82$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0312650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under30c278.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6316437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c276.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.431,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c259$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over59c255.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.36944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under31c252.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.534447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c241.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3416453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c241.05$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.431,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over60c236.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c221$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over72c220.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.982360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Over51c210.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under32c196.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c194.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over51c188.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1414657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Over55c180.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c161.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c161.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.864323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under58c142.45$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.623644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.611144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.191,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c120.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.792955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Under50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c95.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under47c85.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc27…02a8backed Over62c83.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under34c79.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under33c78.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over51c76.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.471650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over51c69.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.826055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over59c47.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.053542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over51c42.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under29c40.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c38.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under37c33.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under60c32.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3419642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over56c31.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9915638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Over51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.714349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over56c29.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.173265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.