TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c379.06$187 inWon+$191.771,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c143$76 inLost-$76.341,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over26c119.21$31 inLost-$30.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over46c110$51 inLost-$50.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under72c87.53$63 inWon+$24.9346156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c82.14$54 inWon+$28.1380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over24c75$18 inLost-$183112.9%4 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-53.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c68.51$34 inLost-$33.5753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c65.17$50 inWon+$15.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over35c61.11$21 inLost-$21.393622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over53c51.18$27 inLost-$27.1827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Under46c50$23 inWon+$27450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over32c48$15 inLost-$15.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under68c17$12 inWon+$5.4430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under80c17$14 inWon+$3.487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under70c16.66$12 inWon+$59253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.