Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb12bf7738764cc49b37d320ea6534f5beabe83c4d6488ae893db355947b09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 28c | 1,442$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 1,280$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 1,222$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,210$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.08 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Over | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 72c | 782$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 70c | 412.15$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 354.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 72c | 252$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 208.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 205.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Over | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over | 72c | 117.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Over | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 90.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 63c | 89.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 66c | 50.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 48.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 71c | 44.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Under | 27c | 43.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 74c | 42.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 39.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Under | 36c | 37.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Over | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 72c | 28.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 79c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4214backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…890bbacked Over | 73c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.