TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked Under69c15,542$10,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,723.992948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c5,191$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.3853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c4,144$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.9898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0701,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over53c2,928$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.5617137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c2,864$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.243,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over31c2,379$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.597949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under69c2,326$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.9435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over31c1,778$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under54c1,394$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under72c1,241$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82810358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under69c1,088$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.5633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c1,070$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.4499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over31c983.05$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over31c903.03$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.0910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c859.9$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8216453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over33c649.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.499747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over33c637.03$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.818853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over31c623.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1112650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over32c600.34$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.233046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under3c563$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c440.28$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over31c377.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.433953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over50c372$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7322269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c366$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over48c358.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Over32c325.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c295.37$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over31c290.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Under70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c265.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under39c258.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over59c252.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under68c239.75$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.039742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c234.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over72c232.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.162360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under43c229.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.412040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c211.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c200.19$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over56c194.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-72.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c194$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over31c154.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over65c152.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.754850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.964528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c140$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.611144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.034323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over28c124$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Over54c122.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under39c110.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under43c109.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.893145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under51c106.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1947240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over31c101.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2711848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over31c98.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.941,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over66c96.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.516944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…5df6backed Under78c95.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over31c86.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.414657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over31c84.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1111650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under68c82.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.273644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under53c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.282373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under51c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2312839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c70.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over39c69.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c64.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Under76c63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.937038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under68c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1635149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over39c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8830444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over39c51.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.037245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over31c50.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.668454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c47.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under69c41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.124447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over31c40.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Under39c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under37c38.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.092441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc27…02a8backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under54c31.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2819642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.719172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under67c28.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9912058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under67c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7618456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.99253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under52c24.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under49c24.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under42c24.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11303.3%1 W · 29 L-12.3wins-0.41per pick44cpaid-94.4%equal weight25-0.22 edge/pick
0xc0c0…482abacked Over56c23.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c22.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.