TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda31…f8ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT11745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$62.12
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$128.97
National Bank Open (Doubles): Alexandrova/Dabrowski vs Gauff/McNallybacked Gauff/McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
National Bank Open (Doubles): Li/Tauson vs Kempen/Panovabacked Kempen/Panova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
National Bank Open (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Cash/Glasspoolbacked Cash/Glasspool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.55
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$32.68
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$87.79
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.4
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.69
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.59
Set 1 Winner: Assche vs Droguetbacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.35
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$119.88
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$115.62
National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.31
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$131.02
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.65
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138.96
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$98.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$642.92
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$486.24
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$433
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$624.09
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$534.07
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$161.99
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.79
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$103.91
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$345.24
Will Terrance McKinney win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$137.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$56.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.