MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa118d4a71c01bc4e5705b77ae31b18bebf1f694aabe85eb50bc881a2b9215302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 243,255$87,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,600.04 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 193,475$99,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,067.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 91,376$22,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,670.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 29,831$13,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,992.59 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 19,999$10,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.46 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 19,885$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,340.34 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 14,185$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 13,762$8,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 13,208$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 13,004$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.64 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 12,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 11,890$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.03 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 30c | 9,523$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 8,968$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 7c | 6,605$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 6,281$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 5,659$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 5,015$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.55 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 4,320$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.54 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 4,145$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.99 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,907$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.64 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 2,937$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,819$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.7wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 2,673$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,539$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.94 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 2,395$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,344$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 2,180$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.4 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,931$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,788$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers | 8c | 1,729$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,544$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,452$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 5c | 1,399$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,157$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Detroit Tigers | 3c | 1,127$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,066$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 938$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.76 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 883.68$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 883.53$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.53 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 750$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 727.62$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 694$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 682.97$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…083ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 677.38$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 645.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 639.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b31backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 639$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 616.94$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 566.67$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 541$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…cea5backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 512.2$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 505.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 500.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 480$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 469$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 452.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 451.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 448.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 422.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 407.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 391$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 390.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 367.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 342.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 341.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.