TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moeller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jerome Kymof Jerome Kym, Elmer Moeller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86b1…c094backed Elmer Moeller29c10,645$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.4857522.1%127 W · 448 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Elmer Moeller19c9,262$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jerome Kym75c9,097$6,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.368,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elmer Moeller30c5,201$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.26,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf46…27d9backed Elmer Moeller28c4,200$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elmer Moeller37c2,595$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.144,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jerome Kym77c2,200$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.788,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Elmer Moeller15c2,176$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc90e…4f15backed Elmer Moeller20c1,853$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.211643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Elmer Moeller16c1,749$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2236141%148 W · 213 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Elmer Moeller9c1,559$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.754,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Jerome Kym63c1,555$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3434655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Jerome Kym63c1,486$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7512452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Elmer Moeller36c1,418$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3856651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Elmer Moeller34c1,118$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Elmer Moeller18c945.02$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0144527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Jerome Kym64c908.21$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.533,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Elmer Moeller23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013918.7%26 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Jerome Kym64c850$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30619051.1%97 W · 93 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jerome Kym63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6593168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Elmer Moeller22c651.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.391,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Elmer Moeller37c607.78$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8887237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jerome Kym66c602.63$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.088,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Elmer Moeller36c599.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Elmer Moeller34c592.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Elmer Moeller37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Elmer Moeller28c469.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9915115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jerome Kym63c444.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Elmer Moeller37c421.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8817842.7%76 W · 102 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Elmer Moeller12c408.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Elmer Moeller11c358.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.742,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…a823backed Jerome Kym67c344.12$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5251…be02backed Elmer Moeller25c330.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.873745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Elmer Moeller30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9944950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Elmer Moeller19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Elmer Moeller31c312$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7223251.7%120 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d09…7fd6backed Elmer Moeller32c298.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4310627.4%29 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Elmer Moeller15c260.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Elmer Moeller11c256.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Elmer Moeller37c255$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.27,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Jerome Kym63c242.57$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.751,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Elmer Moeller37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81,53442.4%651 W · 883 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Jerome Kym64c210.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9490454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Jerome Kym79c191.95$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Elmer Moeller19c189.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618330.6%56 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Elmer Moeller24c187.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Elmer Moeller17c179.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4474712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Elmer Moeller26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Elmer Moeller7c171.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6622335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Elmer Moeller12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jerome Kym76c163.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6895050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Jerome Kym73c161.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Elmer Moeller26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Elmer Moeller37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.518351.9%95 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Elmer Moeller20c149.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c7…d6babacked Elmer Moeller35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Jerome Kym79c140.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9370537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Elmer Moeller37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Elmer Moeller18c127.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Elmer Moeller31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Elmer Moeller31c124.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.636448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Elmer Moeller41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Elmer Moeller26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Elmer Moeller24c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Elmer Moeller36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3691845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jerome Kym63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Elmer Moeller15c99.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157729.9%23 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Elmer Moeller34c97.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0966347.1%312 W · 351 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Jerome Kym63c96.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8910543.8%46 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Elmer Moeller22c92.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.555358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Elmer Moeller19c90.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.972,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Jerome Kym64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.136253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Elmer Moeller31c78.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.265259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Jerome Kym78c76.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…fab5backed Elmer Moeller34c70.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Elmer Moeller23c67.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.292,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Elmer Moeller27c67.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850336%181 W · 322 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Elmer Moeller16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf2…d6d8backed Jerome Kym64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…178bbacked Elmer Moeller37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316647%78 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Jerome Kym74c59.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.744055%22 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Jerome Kym66c56.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.330465.1%198 W · 106 L+20.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Elmer Moeller31c51.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9739747.9%190 W · 207 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Elmer Moeller37c49.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.287254.2%39 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Elmer Moeller30c49.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7536521.6%79 W · 286 L+1.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Jerome Kym71c45.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0927449.6%136 W · 138 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f7cfbacked Elmer Moeller37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Jerome Kym64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.069867.3%66 W · 32 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Elmer Moeller37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Elmer Moeller31c32.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0475350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…2639backed Jerome Kym77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.178859.1%52 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Jerome Kym78c29.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4715236.2%55 W · 97 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b6…0a41backed Jerome Kym71c28.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.278552.9%45 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Jerome Kym64c28.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1215557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Elmer Moeller37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Jerome Kym74c26.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9933550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Jerome Kym78c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.692347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8f…07fdbacked Jerome Kym59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0430…80a2backed Jerome Kym69c19.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f92…7379backed Jerome Kym80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317968.7%123 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.