TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0052…30bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Augsburg: Kasra Rahmani vs Oleksii Krutykhbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.33
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Jack Loge vs Marlon Vankanbacked Jack Loge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$14.48
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Giovanni Oradinibacked Juan Cruz Martin Manzano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagybacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Samuele Seghetti vs Lorenzo Rottolibacked Lorenzo Rottoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.9
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.63
Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Mika Brunoldbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.23
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.98
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.85
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Luca Staeheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Baxbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.4
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30%+$19.9
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.18
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$32.44
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$73.15
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.62
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$226.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$250.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.