TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b56…715ebacked No24c9,966$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No14c8,161$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.144240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No8c8,033$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.151,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c6,749$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.361,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.996952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No13c5,147$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes71c5,051$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.776142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No26c4,258$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.8843252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No29c3,949$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.4827031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes75c3,699$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.9713738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No26c3,513$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No14c3,469$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7991537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No12c2,399$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.388836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed No2c2,070$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No25c1,993$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.33447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No25c1,866$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.919858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked No14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No3c1,725$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.326134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No26c1,564$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc659…7ac9backed Yes76c1,372$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No2c1,359$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No27c1,322$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0631847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes74c1,153$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.785265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes72c1,125$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.497549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes76c1,111$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3427236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No24c1,024$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7813649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes79c1,007$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6332843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No28c868.93$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.388631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…2c93backed Yes70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No10c828.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3910539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No29c813.02$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.782373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No13c798.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.813943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No26c765.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No9c743.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No9c735.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5317058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No4c663.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.743852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed Yes76c549.17$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed Yes72c531.39$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes76c444$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.563161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…0e79backed No12c421$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No12c418.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.222437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No25c414.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.715442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes71c386.52$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No23c343.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.971136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes76c331.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.471275%9 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes73c322$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.947941.8%33 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1616553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes73c250.58$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked No30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes72c243$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8411937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes77c221.32$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6537649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ec…ce25backed No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…b0d6backed No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c02…ec85backed No29c199.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes73c199$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.898237.8%31 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No28c195.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.721338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes76c185.53$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.531957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed No18c183.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed No30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3918…d955backed Yes71c147.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Yes73c140.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83250%16 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15b5…e6e6backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Yes73c137.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332857.1%16 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes76c131.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5826443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb9…49debacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes76c131.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.572040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No27c128.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.048053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes75c126.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes71c115.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5222245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fd…8e1abacked Yes76c109.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Yes71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…6b11backed Yes71c105.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d4…052cbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304973.5%36 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4931…c75ebacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…c463backed No29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes76c76.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes75c71.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a3…d9edbacked No29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No31c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3914942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc3…2a13backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.793852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.