TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95c1…94d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,259.21
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.77
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,593.79
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$831.72
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$528.47
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,962.54
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$192.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$299.49
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$714.72
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$473.11
Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,901.27
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.33
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$114.18
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$104.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.86
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.28
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$958.6
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.59
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$713.07
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$218.22
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$218.73
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$136.67
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$225.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18,708Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$9,953.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.