Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c43bd4e2c1decb7f92feddbe32443a6fc2c801aa5b5013d9bf925afe666f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 0c | 14,265$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 3,310$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,299$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 64c | 1,270$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 30c | 1,174$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,139$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 951.94$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.92 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 34c | 781.68$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed No | 69c | 723.19$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 37c | 709.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 661.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 31c | 612.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked No | 45c | 509.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 415$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 414.22$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 31c | 361.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 69c | 361.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 334.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 309.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 253.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 57c | 208.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 203.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 53c | 160.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 30c | 158.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 72c | 132$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 44c | 129.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 66c | 128.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 65c | 105.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 31c | 97.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 32c | 94.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 69c | 92.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed No | 53c | 87.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 31c | 83.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 71.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 73c | 62.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 64c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 68c | 42.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 40.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 38.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 54c | 36.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 36c | 36.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…b1afbacked Yes | 38c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 34c | 30.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…c2ddbacked No | 66c | 26.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 67c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 70c | 14.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.